Population

12,671,860
note: estimates for this country explicitly take into account the effects of excess mortality due to AIDS; this can result in lower life expectancy, higher infant mortality and death rates, lower population and growth rates, and changes in the distribution of population by age and sex than would otherwise be expected (July 2004 est.)

Age structure

0-14 years: 39.4% (male 2,520,082; female 2,472,641)
15-64 years: 57% (male 3,649,400; female 3,571,631)
65 years and over: 3.6% (male 230,272; female 227,834) (2004 est.)

Median age

total: 19.1 years
male: 19.1 years
female: 19.1 years (2004 est.)

Population growth rate

0.68% (2004 est.)

Birth rate

30.05 births/1,000 population (2004 est.)

Death rate

23.3 deaths/1,000 population (2004 est.)

Net migration rate

negligible migrant(s)/1,000 population
note: there is an increasing flow of Zimbabweans into South Africa and Botswana in search of better economic opportunities (2004 est.)

Sex ratio

at birth: 1.03 male(s)/female
under 15 years: 1.02 male(s)/female
15-64 years: 1.02 male(s)/female
65 years and over: 1.01 male(s)/female
total population: 1.02 male(s)/female (2004 est.)

Statistics

Demographic Indicators:  2000 and 2025
 


 

                                                2000        2025
 

Births per 1,000 population....................   31          23
 

Deaths per 1,000 population....................   19          24
 

Rate of natural increase (percent).............  1.3        -0.1
 

Annual rate of growth (percent)................  1.3        -0.1
 

Life expectancy at birth (years)............... 42.6        39.7
 

Infant deaths per 1,000 live births............   65          51
 

Total fertility rate (per woman)...............  3.8         2.6
 


 

Midyear Population Estimates and Average Annual Period Growth Rates:
 

1950 to 2050 
 

       (Population in thousands, rate in percent) 
 


 

                                                          Growth
 

Year   Population       Year   Population      Period       Rate
 


 

1950        2,853       1995       11,233      1950-1960      3.4
 

1960        4,011       1996       11,436      1960-1970      3.2
 

1970        5,515       1997       11,643      1970-1980      2.6
 

1980        7,170       1998       11,839      1980-1990      3.5
 

1990       10,154       1999       12,022      1990-2000      1.8
 


 

2000       12,186       2010       12,926      2000-2010      0.6
 

2001       12,332       2020       12,832      2010-2020     -0.1
 

2002       12,463       2030       12,800      2020-2030      0.0
 

2003       12,577       2040       13,303      2030-2040      0.4
 

2004       12,672       2050       14,581      2040-2050      0.9
 


 

Midyear Population, by Age and Sex:  2000 and 2025
 

(Population in thousands)
 


 

          ------------2000-----------     ------------2025-----------
 

AGE           TOTAL     MALE   FEMALE         TOTAL     MALE   FEMALE
 


 

TOTAL        12,186    6,111    6,075        12,773    6,549    6,224
 

0-4           1,739      879      860         1,430      724      706
 

5-9           1,606      810      796         1,443      730      714
 

10-14         1,645      828      817         1,488      752      736
 

15-19         1,596      806      790         1,548      784      764
 

20-24         1,214      619      595         1,525      784      741
 

25-29         1,022      524      498         1,348      716      632
 

30-34           776      394      382         1,048      579      469
 

35-39           605      293      312           799      451      348
 

40-44           475      218      258           547      308      239
 

45-49           371      173      197           311      169      141
 

50-54           282      136      146           235      120      115
 

55-59           242      119      123           197       91      106
 

60-64           208      105      102           195       80      115
 

65-69           159       82       77           195       74      121
 

70-74           112       58       53           175       68      107
 

75-79            72       37       35           132       54       78
 

80+              61       29       32           157       66       91
 


 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data Base, September 2004 version.